Joe Biden on brink: How Donald Trump can STILL win US election despite lagging in polls

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Less than two weeks before the US election on November 3, Mr Biden is currently leading Mr Trump in the national polls. Currently, the 10-poll average indicates that just over half of Americans intend to back the former Vice President, while Mr Trump’s support trails this by around five or six points. As former Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton discovered in 2016, though, the number of votes you win is less important than where you win them.

Most states nearly always vote the same way, meaning that in reality there are just a handful of states where both candidates stand a chance of winning.

These are the places where the election will be won and lost and are known as battleground states.

At the moment, polls in the battleground states look good for Mr Biden but according to Clifford Young, President of Ipsos Public Affairs, things can change very quickly, especially when Mr Trump is involved.

He told “Obviously, we know that in the US it is not about the national popular vote.

“We have a 50 states election and of those 50, about six states are important.

“Those are Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

“And then Florida, Arizona and North Carolina.

“Those three mid-western states went to Trump in 2016 and they will be crucial if he wants to win.”

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Professor Young added: “Everyone should focus on those first three.

“The polls are increasingly important but we should understand that ultimately this election will be about getting people to the polls either early on Election Day, rather than persuading people.

“And it will be about whether your side goes out in the right numbers to get you across the finishing line.”

Regarding Mr Biden’s possible victory, the Professor added: “We should be careful.

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“All the polls are trending Biden, yes. And they are trending Biden in the key swing states.

“However, in 2016, Clinton had the same lead over Trump.

“I am not saying history is definitely going to repeat itself but we should be careful.

“It is about based activation and things can happen, things can change.”

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